What do these new developments mean?
With escalations of violence and activities reported in Amhara state and crossing of Tigrayan fighters into the neighbouring Afar region, the conflict is expected to continue. In western Oromia, and Benishangul Gumuz region government security forces are expected to take action against Shene and Gumuz militants.
Shene (Oromo Liberation Army) has been declared a terrorist organisation by the government on 1 May. It is feared that Shene will retaliate against civilian targets in the areas they are operating. After some months of security improvement, Gumuz militants have reportedly started killing civilians in Benishangul Gumuz region.
Ethio-Sudan Border Tension will likely continue to escalate until the dispute is formally settled. What does this mean? Since December 2020, the border dispute between the two countries has caused violent border clashes in the al-Fashaga area and is likely to continue as long as tensions remain.
You can read our most recent Ethiopia Bi-weekly Report here.
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